By Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally published on The Conversation and is reprinted here with permission.Pollsters indulged in breezy self-congratulation in the aftermath of the 2022 midterm elections. Pre-elec
By W. Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally published on The Conversation on July 20, 2021More than eight months after the acute polling embarrassment in the 2020 U.S. elections – that produced the sharpest dis
By W. Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally published on The Conversation, and is reposted here with permission.Election polling is facing yet another reckoning following its uneven-at-best performance in this
This excerpt from Lost in Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections revisits the many confident expressions about Hillary Rodham Clinton’s candidacy in the final days and hours before the 2016 general election. A close outcome seemed possible, but her defeat was implausible. Clinton won
by W. Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally featured in The Conversation, and has been reblogged with permission.Poll-bashing – the aggressive, even extreme lambasting of pollsters and their work – used to be b