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Early polls can offer some insight into candidates’ weak points – but are extremely imprecise

Feb 19 2024
By W. Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections, Updated EditionThis article was originally published on The Conversation.Preelection polls have been inescapable early in the 2024 election year, setting storylines, as they invariably do, for
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Election polls in 2020 produced ‘error of unusual magnitude,’ expert panel finds, without pinpointing cause

Jul 28 2021
By W. Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally published on The Conversation on July 20, 2021More than eight months after the acute polling embarrassment in the 2020 U.S. elections – that produced the sharpest dis
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